Monday, 27 March 2017

INDIA ARMY'S SMALL ARMS CONUNDRUM

The Indian Army like many of its purchases has had major goofups with its small arms procurement while the police forces were much better. Small arms are the basis for any defence force , it perhaps has more impact on a conflict than even nuclear submarines and aircraft carriers. Providing the right small arms for our troops can save a lot of lives, boost morale and lethality.
The recent flip flops on the calibre is worth noting and it is extremely critical to understand existing shortfalls and weed out the misconceptions. The Indian Army has decided to go for the 7.62x51mm calibre for its new assault rifles to replace the INSAS. This comes after failing to find a suitable Multi Calibre Rifle capable of firing both the 5.56x45mm(for conventional conflicts) and the 7.62x39mm(for counter insurgency) ammunition with interchangeable barrel, buffer and magazine. This rifle would come in conversion kits with additional tools to change calibres in the field or at the armoury. The trials not seem to have gone well, there may have been problems with the reliability of such a complex design or too many design compromises for multicalibre capability or may be it was just  cheaper and risk free to induct a common calibre which can be used in both counter insurgency and conventional warfare. The return of the 7.62x51 has a good range and good lethality but the platform tends to be heavier, more expensive and uncontrollable in full or even in bursts which can be an impediment in close combat in built up and jungle areas. The army may be thinking about employing 5.56mm carbines at such short range engagements and they have their place but they are what they are ,carbines which are less flexible than full length rifles even in close combat.

Desert Tech MDR . Source - Canadiangunnuts

The 5.56x45mm calibre - Misconceptions with the ARDE and the Indian Army:
The common misconception with the Armaments Research Development Establishment(ARDE) and the Indian Army is that the 5.56x45mm round was designed to incapacitate or injure the enemy rather than killing him, thus a myth started to spring up justifying that in conventional conflict injuring enemy soldiers used up more resources of the adversary than killing the soldiers. The ARDE and the Army are right to extent ,the round designed and used by them through the INSAS rifle can only injure the enemy and not kill him, even at close ranges. Lets look at why the round was created.

The evolution of the 5.56x45mm ammunition and the AR-15:
The 5.56x45mm became implemented as a military round in the AR-15 designed by the legendary Eugene. The idea behind it lied in the science of "wound ballistics" which indicated in tests that if a smaller lighter bullet is fired at high velocities it tumbles violently upon entering a different medium(Eg . Flesh/ballistic gel) thus breaking up easily and creating a large cavity. The critical aspects which dictated the size of the cavity were the velocity of the bullet 
1.Velocity of the bullet at the target end had to be greater than a threshold which is about 720-750m/s. A standard M-16 can keep a bullet over that threshold for 200m.
2.The stability of the bullet, higher the stability lesser was the tendency to tumble.
3.The integrity of the bullet itself. Higher the integrity lesser the tendency to breakup.
4.Length of travel in the medium. An entry through the stomach had a higher chance of tumbling than an entry through the limbs.
5.The yaw characteristics of the bullet. A bullet with some yaw would tumble more upon entering flesh.
       The wound channel created upon tumbling and fragmentation of the 5.56mm round. Source - http://www.discussionist.com

Fragmentation at different velocities .Source - http://www.ciar.org

The high velocity Russian 5.45mm round creating a cavity immediately after entry. The steel core 7.62x39mm fragmenting later than the lead core 7.62x39mm. Source - Wiki


Stoner was aware of this and started to design a rifle the AR-15 which could be lethal under 300yards(275m ), he had also earlier developed the AR-10 which was a 7.62x51mm rifle and would be his primary offering to the US Army. The US special operations forces were quick to recognise it, adopt it for operating in the jungles of Vietnam and with immense success. The balance of the weapon,lightness, the rate of fire,flatter trajectory, accuracy and the lethality of the round at close ranges were very handy. The 5.45x39mm ammunition ,a similar round used by the soviets in the Afghanistan had a reputation of being known as the poison round for its nasty wound inflicting ability.
The weapon was later recommended for large scale adoption by the US Army, the Army Material Command which was averse to an outsiders design replacing its own M-14 stepped in to make certain "improvements" to an already proven, good design which resulted in the M-16. They changed the propellant powder in the ammunition from the stick powder based IMR used by Stoner to a ball powder(from their traditional supplier) , this made the rifle dirtier in operation, distorted the harmony of the operating cycle thus making the rifle unreliable. In low temperatures ,they found that the accuracy of the wasnt good thus increased the twist from 1:20 to 1:12 to stabilise the bullet and make it more accurate but it also meant that the tumbling tendency will decrease. With later variants such as the A2 and A4 there was a demand for higher range(500m) and the ability to defeat body armour at long ranges, thus a heavier denser bullet was introduced with a steel penetrator (SS109/M855)and to stabilise the heavier bullet the rifling twist was increased to 1:9. The M-4 with shorter barrel of 14.5 inches as compared to the 20 inches of the original coupled with the higher power M855A1 "green" cartridge worsened the already bad problems.

The rise of the "incapacitating round" myth:
With the above mentioned developments the M-16 in combat could not replicate the same kind of wounding characteristics on the adversary as it initially demonstrated. The ammunition upon entry created a smaller channel due to the reduced tumbling and breakage which meant that the adversary would continue to be conscious and thus capable of returning fire even after being hit. The results were even worse if the bullet hit the limbs, so soldiers had to aim and hit the torso for any meaningful damage.
With rising dissatisfaction of the troops with the lethality of their individual weapons the higher ups had to justify their adoption and usage of the 5.56mm round, so they came up with the explanation that the round was intended to incapacitate the enemy by injuring him and not kill him thereby using up extra resources of the enemy. Seemingly everyone bought it, unfortunately so did the Indian Army and the DRDO. It is not very clear if they had conducted any preliminary studies and carried out tests with existing weapons before going about designing and adopting our own weapon based on the 5.56mm round.

The INSAS rifle:
The INSAS rifle which had a lot of problems  after its introduction went through a painful and long refining process with its 1B1 variant being somewhat reliable and has eliminated some of the earlier problems. Despite doing all that it still remains long,heavy, cumbersome then similar designs like the FN FNC,Polish Beryl, Romanian . Scientists at ARDE had used some modern materials like polymers for the foregrip, magazines, stock and yet couldnt bring the weight under similar weapons of the same class which use traditional wood furniture like the AKM,VZ-58. The additional complexity of the 3 round burst mechanism is also behind some of the reliability problems.
It had a limited magazine capacity of 22 rounds but usually held less than that  to prevent spring wear and the feed problems that come out of it. This means it has to be reloaded more frequently in a firefight.
As far as the ammunition goes, the bullet(Steel insert Ball) weight of the INSAS is 4.16gm and NATO equivalents is  around 3.5gm.This means that a heavier bullet needs a higher twist rate 1 in 200mm ,in US terms close to 1:7.8 which is higher than even the latest M-16s of 1:9 . The muzzle velocity such a bullet in the INSAS is 900m/s which is 60m/s lower than the M-16. In short the INSAS adopts the same lethality problems from the M-16A2 but also made it worse. The INSAS may be accurate to a good range but compromises on its lethality at ranges even below 300m within which most of the engagements take place.

INSAS 1B1. Source - Wiki

Operational Lessons and their impact on small arms adoption and deployment:
Combat in different terrains like deserts, jungles, mountains ,low temperatures has shown that there is no one size fits all calibre.
In the jungles where engagement ranges are short the 5.56mm would be a good choice for the rifleman backed up with 7.62 marksman and light machine guns to penetrate the foliage at longer ranges.
In mountains a good amount of engagements are still going to be under 300m but targets many times were identified at longer ranges .Engaging such targets by maneuvering close to the target to engage them increased the risk of an ambush, so such targets were engaged with long range snipers ,machine guns ,mortars or even artillery. So dismounted troops primary weapon of choice to engage longer range targets was the barret m82 as it puts the friendly troops out of enemy engagement range, followed by maneuvering and engaging with 7.62mm machine guns  and Designated Marksmans Rifle.
The L-129 Designated Marksman Rifle. Source - firearmblog
In plains or in deserts engagement ranges beyond 500m are low and significant under 300m.Thus similar to the mountainous range it would need 7.62 DMRs, LMGs and 0.50cal snipers.

Possible options for the INSAS family replacement:

1. A 5.56x45mm rifle optimised to be lethal at ranges upto 200m(a good hit can drop the enemy dead) and meaningfully effective upto 300m(a good hit can totally incapacitate or make enemy unconscious ).Such rifles are rare on the market but can be made easily by existing manufacturers.
2. A Designate Marksman Rifle(DMR) preferably a bullpup design which can enable its use in close quarters too. An accuratised version of the FAL can be done on existing stocks can be done similar to the M14EBR with a better buffer, floating barrel, long range scopes, foregrips, bipods, foldable/collapsible stocks. There is the bullpup variant of the M14 which has been used by special forces in combat. There are other bullpups coming up like the Desert Tech MDR.

The SRSS Bulldog 7.62X51mm bullpup DMR in Afghanistan. Source : defensereview
3.A sub compact weapon with a very short barrel for use in room clearing, in vehicles, special ops, Personal Defence Weapon(PDW). It would be lethal upto 100m and meaningfully effective upto 200m.
A quick propellant burnout so as to reduce flash, sound and recoil in a short barrel. Subsonic ammunition can be usefull in special ops as they are more silent when used with a suppressor and make the gun less dirty. The 300Blackout is avery good candidate as it offers good energy from a short barrel and comes in subsonic types too, it is being adopted by the US special forces.

 SID MCX LVAW(Low-Visibility Assault Weapon) chambered in 300 blackout .Source - recoilweb

4.A 7.62x51mm Light Machine Gun with a backpack ammunition feed system to minimise ammo change time and to enable longer continuous fire time while walking. The Negev NG7 comes with such an option.
Negev NG7 beltfed LMG chambered 7.62x51mm. Source - defensereview

Concept rifle for INSAS rifle replacement:
The idea behind the INSAS was to have a cheap, reliable, controllable rifle provided to out armed forces. After the IPKF experience it was found that the lower 7.62x51mm ammunition carried poor controllability in the heat of battle was to be corrected. Whether it corrected them or not the INSAS created other problems some of them were not the sole fault of the DRDO but also the armies maintenance practices(rectified now) and the OFBs poor quality control(one can only wish if this can ever be rectified).
The similar requirement will be carried on for the new design.

The General design:
 It would be a design which bridges the assault rifle and a section LMG like the H&K M27 IAR being able to bring accurate suppressive fire on the adversary. It would have an open bolt and closed bolt operating mode, the closed bolt mode will be used in the semi auto mode(if possible both modes can be linked to a single ambidextrous switch) and the open bolt will be used with the automatic mode to reduce the risk of cookoffs . It will employ a recoil mitigating mechanism like the "soft recoil" mechanism developed by James L Sullivan for the Ultimax LMG .The receiver would be made of stamped sheet metal steel to keep the cost down and for ease of manufacture. It would have ambidextrous and ergonomic bolt release, charging handle and magazine release switches.

The LWRC Infantry Automatic Rifle with open bolt and closed bolt modes for semi auto and full auto respectively

The Soft recoil mechanism:
It is a mechanism where the recoiling force of the recoiling mass ie the bolt or the bolt+piston(in case of long stroke piston) ,is transferred to the buffer over a stretched period of time rather than in a short intense blow by using a set of springs.
Recoiling mass = m, acceleration of recoiling mass due to recoil= a
Recoil force= F=mXa ==m X dv/dt
where dv- change in the velocity of recoiling mass , dt - time taken for the change in velocity.
Thus by increasing dt the force imparted is reduced and not only that , the force impulse is also reduced by having a constant force which means the shooter will find it easier to keep the sight on the target.
Ultimax soft recoil LMG demonstrates very high controllability at full auto
Barrel:
The rifle would have a tooless quick removal barrel with the barrel removed with a barrel release catch like the MG-10 concept rifle. The barrel replacements should be precise and not affect the accuracy of the weapon. Quick barrel change may be used to switch between rifle n carbine lengths or to continuously laying suppressive fire without overheating the barrel as used in the Ultimax. This would enable the use of lighter, cheaper barrels . It would have barrels of 2 variable lengths.
1. 20 Inch barrel for the rifle(with 1:20 twist)
2. 16.5 Inch barrel for the carbine
Barrels will be cold hammer forged steel barrels with chromium lining to extend life.

The armwest MG-10 with quick barrel change.
Gas Block:
The rifle will operate on the short/long stroke gas piston mechanism. The block will be easy to remove and clean. It has two gas settings for the two barrel lengths.

Stock:
It will be a folding and collapsible stock like the one used in the like the one used in the FN SCAR.

Magazine:
To reduce the frequency of magazine change due to the higher use of auto fire a 60 round and 100 round magazine will be used without lubrication, the sure fire 60 round and 100 round magazines are an example. Drum magazines like the C Mag can also be used. The ususal 30 round magazines can also be used.

Sights:
The top mounted picattiny rails can accommodate red dot ,holographic, image intensification mounted on theMIL-STD-1913 picatinny rail on top of the receiver along with a built in iron sight.


Picatinny rail mounted ACOG sight on a M27 IAR. Source - smallarmsdefensejournal

Wednesday, 15 March 2017

Low cost Interdiction fighter concept

This would be a follow on of the previous post on battlefield interdiction.The aim is to develop a concept aircraft which can be developed, qualified and put into service as soon as possible within the budget using readily available COTS items and technologies developed for other programs such as the LCA, Jaguar Darin III,Combat Hawk. It would be survivable against the most common threats and to detect and avoid the most advanced threats.
Mission Profile:
To carry out
1. Strikes on the logistic ,artillery and support units  which are of importance  to the adversary in the Forward Edge Battle Area(FEBA).
2. Suppression of Enemy Air Defences(SEAD),Destruction of Enemy Air Defences(DEAD)
3. Reconnaissance/Target Designation , Electronic Intelligence , Communication Intelligence , Electronic Support Measures.
4. Anti Shipping.
5. Air Defence against low flying helicopters, UAVs and other slow aircraft.
6. Advanced Jet Training/Weapon Delivery Training.
7. Aerial Refueling.
Principle Requirements:
1. Light weight,small , simple,rugged and agile.
2. Ability to carry out precision strikes with long range weapons on land and at sea.
3. Specific variants for night attack, SEAD/DEAD, recon, antishipping.
5. Capable of taking off from highways and semi paved runways.
Easy to maintain, low cost of ownership, high sortie generation rates.
4. Affordable and built with technology available in India.
Survivable against current and emerging threats.
Good payload and combat persistence.

Operations research:
1. Most(more than 60-80%) of the combat losses of aircraft  in Vietnam war, Yom Kippur war, Gulf Wars, Kosovo,Chechen War ,Crimea have been primarily to low cost air defences like Anti Aircraft Artillery(AAA), MANPADS. Aircraft which presented a small visible surface area and were more manuverable where found to be survivable against AAA threat .Eg: the A-37 Dragonfly, Focke-Wulf 189. The effectiveness rates for large SAM's were relatively low and went lower as the expensive stocks got depleted , but they were effective in bringing the aircraft into AAA engagement envelopes.Thus low cost defence were more effective in the presence of SAMs even though SAMs themselves were not that effective.
2.Most of the aircraft losses to ground fire were due to control surface failures and fires caused by fuel, hydraulic liquid.
3.80% of the aircraft were shot down by surprise at close range so all round cockpit visibility is critical.
4. It is to be understood that simple aircraft attained higher operational readiness and generated more sorties in all wars. Eg: The A-10 had an availability rate of more than 90% , which far higher than other aircraft including helicopters.Stealth aircraft demonstrated poor availability. A-10 generated 12,400 sorties in the gulf war as compared to the 2,600 of the F-117.
5.Crew of two provides lessens the pilot workload during strike missions as they invovle multiple functions simultaneously. It also provides an additional eye in the sky.
6. Payload carrying strike aircraft in all wars could not go supersonic due to the excessive drag created by the pylons, weapons and drop tanks but sometimes went supersonic after jettisoning the payload.
7. Indian weather conditions are mostly clear and sunny round the year so it is unnecessary to make all the aircraft all weather capable
8. Precision weapons had limitations in their use.PGMs such as LGBs, JDAM, HARM were countered with smoke generation, decoy radio emitters, GPS jammers. Precision weapons were only as good as the coordinates provided to them by the intelligence.

Inspirational Platform:
Considering the above requirements we take a proven design as our inspiration and base our concept around it. The A-4 Skyhawk designed for the US Navy and Marines by the legendary aircraft designer Ed Heinemann who designed it as per his policy of "Simplicate and Add Lightness".
Some of his design choices made the A-4 a light,simple,robust, high performance,survivable workhorse which flew the most number of sorties of any navy aircraft and also suffered the most number of losses. That is not a measure of its vulnerability but rather the percentage of A-4s returned home after getting hit was higher than any other jet aircraft aircraft in the US Navy during Vietnam.

                                        The A-4 Skyhawk. Courtesy - http://foxtrotalpha.jalopnik.com/

General specifications of the aircraft:
The aircraft empty weight - 4000 kg
Payload - 4 tons with 5 hard points for fuel and weapons.
Crew - 2
Top Speed - Mach 0.8-0.9

Airframe Design:
The aircraft will use a delta/cropped delta tail cruciform configuration. The solid delta wing provides the structural strength, low drag, space for fuel and good agility. The aircraft will a stable design with no fly by wire as the design is agile as a result of the delta wing and lower inertia due to low weight. The cockpit canopy will be a bubble glass canopy similar to the F-16, Rutan ARES with all round visibility for the pilot providing optimal situational awareness.

                                                        The high all round visibility bubble glass canopy. Courtesy                                 - https://www.slideshare.net/


The airframe will be built with Aluminium as it is readily available and the people who are experienced with it are in plenty, the subsonic requirement and the strong delta wing allow the use of cheaper,less exotic materials .Weight reduction will be primarily through detailed design,weight budgeting through various design/analysis tools.Low cost composites like fiberglass over foam used by Burt Rutan and Scaled Composites in their low cost home built designs can be used in certain areas instead of more expensive autoclave or even resin based composites.

                                The low cost all Composite Rutan ARES. Courtesy - http://www.knifeedge.com/

Electric and hydraulic actuators with manual backup will be used to move the control surfaces, to reduce the overall weight the electric actuates will be the primary boost mechanism the hydraulic actuators will provide the control surface feedback to the pilot.The electric actuators need power generation which will be provided by an auxiliary power unit(APU).The leading edge slats will be gravity operated such that they drop when the air speed decreases and revert back under friction at high speed just like in the A-4 but has to be tweaked such that both slats drop at the same time so that the moment created with on slat dropping earlier than the other is prevented.

                                  The Gravity Operated Leading Edge Slats.Courtesy - https://en.wikipedia.org/

The air intakes will be simpler as the aircraft is not meant to be supersonic and thus the problem of boundary layer separation is not very significant.The sides of the air intake will have doors for additional air during take offs with high payload or at high altitudes.Fixed aerial refueling probe mounted to the side of the nose not obstructing the view of the pilot.

Landing Gear:
A tricycle landing gear with all three wheels folding forward so that even if there is a hydraulic leakage they will drop down by the friction of air.The rear wheels are wide with low pressure run flat tires to enable landing on semi paved or even unpaved runways. The landing gear excluding the wheels dont penetrate into the wing spar thus keeping the wing strong and the struts are housed within a fairing under the wing. The hydraulically operated main landing gear doors can be made to act like air brakes(as in the folland gnat) eliminating the need for a dedicated landing gear ,thus saving weight.
                         A-4 Skyhawk Landing Gear.Courtesy - http://www.defensemedianetwork.com
                                   
Propulsion:
Propulsion would be an in service non afterburning turbofan engine.In case of single engine the options would be non afterburning versions of the M88, GE-404,RD-33, Kaveri "Ghatak" variant(if available) or in the case of the twin engined configuration the options would be the F-124,Adour, HTFE-25(if available).Full Authority Digital Engine Control (FADEC) is optional and preferrebly eliminated to prevent electronic obsolescence of the FADEC electronics affecting the availability of the engine itself.Other forms of engine control should be explored.The engines would provide very good combat persistence and range as in the Singaporean A-4SU. The aft section of the aircraft woould be removed to access the engine for maintenance or replace to replace it.This reduces complex doors and latches to access the engine thereby reducing weight. The engine will be started by an external starter which will be a part of ground support equipment ,inflight restart will utilize windmilling.

Avionics:
Electronics will be kept modular and will not be highly integrated which will complicate addition or replacement of existing electronics as the central computer has to be reprogrammed to accept the new item.Maximum use of COTS components in a modular way.
Baseline day variant :
The Mark 1 eyeball or the human eye would play a big role in situational awareness locating aircraft, missile launches and targets with a bubble glass canopy.
Laser Altimeter for the pilot.
A gimbal TV sensor coupled with a Laser Range Finder(LRF) for the weapons officer.
SEAD/DEAD/Antiship variant sensors:
The Siva direction finding pod or any other similar pod for cueing anti radiation missiles.

                            Siva High Accuracy Direction Finding Pod. Courtesy - https://forums.bharat-rakshak.com

Night Variant sensors:
Fixed navigation FLIR+Laser Altimeter for the pilot.
Gimbal FLIR coupled with LRF/Compact low power ranging radar for weapons officer.

Communication:
Software Defined Radio(if it is not slow to boot and does not hang) or any other secure VHF/UHF radio.
Operational Datalink (ODL) to share off board information.
Internally mounted APK-9 Tekon weapon guidance datalink.

Self protection suite
360 deg coverage Wing tip+Tail mounted Digital Radar Warning Receiver (RWR)+low power DRFM Jammer like the Gripen E providing better coverage and reduced interference.The RWR should be capable of detecting,identifying and classifying AESA and other LPI radars at long range.Also used for cueing Chaffs.
Courtesy:http://www.w54.biz/

                         Wing tip mounted RWR/emitter locater and Jammer. Courtesy - http://www.f-16.net/forum/ 

360 deg Wing tip+Tail mounted dual colour IR Missile Approach Warning System(MAWS) to reduce false alarms. Also used for cueing DIRCM(optional) and IR flares.
Laser Warning Receiver(LWR) to warn of airborne and ground based Laser ranging for missiles and AAA.
RF and Laser proximity fuse jammers. Although it is a last ditch effort , it can reduce the Probablitlity of kill significantly by disrupting optimal warhead detonation.
Towed decoy/ towed Jammer.

Cockpit Interface:
The combat hawk variant cockpit interface built by BAE/HAL can adopted off the shelf.The pilot would have a Head Up Display(HUD) for flight data and the gun,Helmet Mounted Sight(HMS) with for the Air to Air Missile and optionally for the gun,1 or 2 Multifunction Displays(MFD) for flight instrumentation/navigation FLIR, two small displays for the Radar Warning Receiver(RWR) and the Missile Approach Warning System (MAWS), Hands on Throttle and Stick(HOTAS). This will present the overload of information.
The rear wepons operator/Navigator will have display for the TV sensor/FLIR/Direction finding pod and the LRF/ranging radar, One moving map display for navigation.
Night/All weather Variant:
Night vision capable cockpit with the crew having a 3rd gen II tube based night vision binocular.

                         The Combat Hawk Cockpit. Courtesy - https://thaimilitaryandasianregion.wordpress.com/

Others:
TACAN, Ring laser gyro based Inertial Navigation System + GPS navigation.
Flight Data Recorder.
Specific Stores Management for specific variants. Eg: Only the SEAD variant has the stores interface and management for the Kh-31 Anti Radiation Missile ,other variants don't.

Survivability features:
The cockpit and the engine is armoured with lightweight composite armour against small arms fire upto 12.7mm projectiles and airburst splinter and the canopy is bullet resistant in the front.
The control surfaces have redundant flight controls with a manual backup in case the hydroelectric controls fail.
The Air frame itself doesnt not crack or shatter on impact but rather allows the projectiles to go though them by punching holes thereby preventing structural damage.
No fuel is stored in the fuselage near the engine , the fuel tanks in the wing are self sealing and filled with foam to prevent fire.The hydraulic fuel used will not be flammable.
A composite non heat conducting tail pipe extension like ARES or the Israeli A-4s which can minimise the effect of the small warhead present in the MANPADS on the aircraft engine and tail control surfaces.

                                 The extended A-4 tail pipe. Courtesy - http://www.britmodeller.com/forums/
Crew accommodation:
The cockpit will be air conditioned in all variants and will have high altitude environmental control system only for certain variants as in the other areas they would operate at low to medium altitude just like the A-37 dragon fly which flew combat sorties with no environmental control system for the crew.
Martin Baker Zero-Zero ejection seats for the crew.

Payloads:
Base daylight variant :
KH-29T/TE
KH-59M
KAB-1500TK
KAB-500SE
Griffin LGB(designated by an offboard source as on board designation restricts aircraft maneuverability and makes the aircraft vulnerable to ground fire)
HSLD 250, 450 100kg OFAB dumb bombs
Retarder bombs for low pass attacks avoiding AAA and SAM tracks.
Subsonic drop tanks, Centre mounted air to air refuelling buddy store.
R-73 or ASRAAM or Python-5.ASRAAM may be preferrable because of the high resolution Focal Plane Array seeker which handles ground clutter better, Russians have refused to provide the source code for thr R-73 in the LCA program.
Single 30mm GIAT-30(high muzzle velocity and good initial rate of fire) with 200-300 rounds.

                                  Kh-39 with APK-9 datalink pod. Courtesy - http://www.ausairpower.net
Night variant
KH-59M2E(IIR/low light CCD)
SEAD variant:
KH-31P anti radiation missile.
Antishipping variant:
KH-31P against shipborne radar with siva DF pod.
KH-31A cued using Siva Pod and range provided by ranging radar
KH-59MK cued using Siva Pod and range provided by ranging radar.
COMINT/ELINT/ESM/EA/Recon variant:
The Passive sensor/Intel suite developed for the NETRA AWACS mounted internally or externally.
DARE High Band Jamming Pod mounted externally
                                       DARE HBJ Pod. Courtesy - http://www.nairaland.com
Rafael Reccelite recon pod.

Conclusion:
The concept may not look flashy but it was never meant to be. Such an aircraft can be designed, developed and operationalised through a competitive process with the entire funding of the prototypes brought in by the Indian private companies themselves. Govt funding at most times produce bloated systems which are too big to fail.This will be  a more conservative design philosophy which marks a departure from the "I too have it " mentality we usually adopt vis-a-vis current western aircraft designs.

Battlefield Interdiction in the Indian scenario

Some Combat Perspective
The fantasy of deep penetration into enemy territory and bomb him into submission is nothing new but what is surprising is its continual prevalence in Air Forces around the world despite proving time and again that it does very little to influence the outcome of a conflict.It all started with the fascination for the the theories of strategic bombing framed by Giulio Douhet in his 1921 book, “The Command of the Air.”
The British , the Germans and the Americans employed deep penetration bombing extensively which did little to slow down the military infrastructure of their adversaries but strengthened the resolve of the public to support their respective countries in the war effort.The infrastructure destroyed was rebuilt within weeks but the number of aircraft and trained airmen lost in the bombing took months to regain,so is that in any sustainable? On the contrary Maj. Gen. Elwood Richard Quesada who organised the USAAF battlefield interdiction operations with the rugged and reliable P-47s during the Normandy operations proved to be extremely influential on the outcome of the battle.The P-47s had eight browning 0.50 cal machine guns which was incapable of penetrating the German tanks but played havoc with the soft skinned light vehicles,railway lines supplying and supporting the Panzer units and also damaging the running gear of the tanks which slowed down their progress.The result was that the German armoured units took several weeks instead of days to arrive at the battle and with a low moral too which proved to be decisive in the success of the allied forces in the battle.The economic cost imposed by these attacks were not significant but in the context of the battle and the time bought they proved critical.
       American fighters strafing trains, supply vehicles.
The vietnam conflict continue for a long time despite heavy deep strikes and the US suffered extensive losses to the Soviet style Integrated Air Defences with overlapping layers of AAA,SAMs and interceptors.The kosovo air campaign which started with few days of bombing in mind extended to 78 days with millions of tonnes of rdnance dropped , hundreds of missiles and precision munitions dropped with no significant losses on the adversary(post analysis by several agencies) or influence on the conflict. A capable trained adversary like the Serbian military could use deception, countermeasures, mobility,decoys to defeat sophisticated sensors and smart missiles.The level of awareness of the adversaries ground environment(except in the vicinity of combat or the FEBA where the "Fog of War" can take a toll on his awareness) is always higher than an intruding air force despite using the most sophisticated technology, it is an unfair game.
                                         Mig-29 decoy used by the Serbian Army to absorb PGBs, similar decoys  were also used for tanks.
The Indian Air Force Scenario
Now let us come to the Indian Scenario. The Indian Air Force over the years had judiciasly used air power to primarily attack the adversary in contact with our forces , his support elements, ammunition depots,artillery pieces etc. It has gone deep into enemy territory and attacked him only when it was a high value target(attack on airfields and runways) or when it was urgent(the attack on the East Pakistan Parliment) but gradually as the finacial resources and a wider choice of suppliers to choose from the mentality that the IAF can itself alone influence the course of a war had increased. It started of with the induction of the Sepecat Jaguar deep penetration attack aircraft which at that was looked at by many as an expensive acquisition.Now let us look at the scenarios in which the jaguar can be used in deep strikes,
1. Attacking airbases destroying/damaging aircraft and runways.
2.Attack command and control stations of the adversary.
3.Attacking other high value targets such as defence manufacturing plants, oil refineries,other infrastructure.
We will look at it case by case
1.Pakistan Air Force has been aware of this and has regularly carried out take offs and landing on highways in case air bases are crippled, a concept similar to the Swedish concept during the cold war where its fighters were based around freeways. Even in the case of attacking the airbases which are fairly large and distinct ,ballistic missiles and cruise missiles fired in barrages with a variety of bunker busting/sub munition warheads with satellites, HUMINT providing the coordinates might be cheaper and less risky.Off late ballistic missiles have become very accurate, come with a variety of warheads including sensor fused ones and they are cost effective to produce and use in numbers than expensive  trained pilots,imported fighters which will be diffciult to replace if lost
2. PAF and PLAAF are professional forces , they have a system of succession replacement and also can act in a decentralised manner with local commanders taking charge, so crippling the centralised command and control or neutralising a leader wont much good but on the contrary will turn a rigid centralised system into a flexible decentralised command structure. It will also be foolish on the part of PAF,PLAAF to believe that crippling the central command and control of Indian forces will affect Indian operations significantly.
3. Similar to attacking air bases, ballistic missiles can damage large stationary difficult to camouflage defence infrastructure cost effectively with minimised risk.

Thus the recent acquisitions of the SU-30MKI,Rafale and upgradation of Jaguars for billions of dollars, if used for striking deep into the adversary would not affect the outcome of the conflict much and if the losses on our side are high which probably will be the case considering the formidable air defences of Pakistan and China it will counterproductive for our war efforts. As far as the air component of the nuclear triad ,it doesn't offer any advantages over a sea based or a land based nuclear deterrent and is superfluous considering that the limitation in size of the air launched nuclear warhead which would probably be used as a tactical nuclear device itself is a oxymoron as nuclear delivery can never be tactical and will quickly escalate. The belief that a deterrent system is incomplete if there is no air component is incorrect.
One possible alternative would be to develop and produce locally an affordable,light, survivable battlefield interdiction aircraft and a close air support aircraft which can be produced in numbers within existing technology, infrastructure and  budget limitations. They can support our mobile battle groups as a part of our cold start doctrine, produce a good number of quality pilots by providing cheaper flying hours and can be easily replaceable if lost.


Tuesday, 14 March 2017

Greetings!!

This blog would touch upon the current and future security predicament of the Indian security agencies and possible alternatives to meet them. Emphasis would be on unconventional solutions to conventional challenges, new or revisited philosophies of weapon design and deployment. Informative feedbacks will be appreciated.
- Nandri.